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Summary of Bostrom's "Vulnerable World Hypothesis"
Back
We might live in a vulnerable world: in the future we
might find out a way to make nukes in a garage (for instance)
https://nickbostrom.com/papers/vulnerable.pdf
Front
Summary of OvercomingBias "Against Voter Foresight"
Back
When a future tech is foreseen too long before it happens, it becomes a subject of heated public debate, which hinders its potential positive aspects.
Ex: the pill wasn't foreseen, and it's better this way
Front
2 arguments that wealth could lead to happiness despite polls not showing this very clearly (Tyler Cowen)
Back
- poorer people have lower standards
- wealth makes you live longer, and we're only polling the living
Front
Summary of "Dissolving the Fermi Paradox" (Bostrom, Sandberg, Drexler, 2018)
Back
Although the expected number of intelligent civilizations is high with our current estimates of the Drake equation's parameters, taking our uncertainties into account results in a substantial probability of us being alone in the observable universe.
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(LW) def reductionism
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We use different levels of physical reality for computation, but physical reality only has one level
Front
def unilateralist's curse
Back
When many actors could perform an action that could have negative consequences on everyone and that shouldn't be done, one of the actors is bound to make a mistake and do it
Front
past example of an unambiguously wrong decision resulting from the unilateralist's curse
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Introducing rabbits in Australia
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an area where the unilateralist's curse is most prominent
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(SSC) Summary of "Rule thinkers in, not out"
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We should accept individuals who can come up with at least some brilliant ideas, not reject individuals who are wrong somewhere.
Because coming up with new ideas is much harder than evaluating ideas
Back
2 urns with balls numbered 1..10 and 1..1,000,000. An urn picked, then a ball picked: 7. Then we should guess to have picked the first urn.
Now same argument with 2 hypotheses:
1) humanity dies early
2) humanity continues to strive for a long time
Front
execute the string str as a command
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"everything except file1"
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match a single a, b, or c
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match a single a, or b, or c
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match any single character that is not an a, b or c
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any alphanumeric character
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any alphanumeric character
Showing cards 21-40 of 622